Axesor otorga un aprobado alto a la deuda soberana de España

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octubre 26, 2018
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EE UU modera ligeramente el crecimiento en el tercer trimestre
octubre 27, 2018

Axesor otorga un aprobado alto a la deuda soberana de España

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La agencia de calificación española se estrena en deuda soberana con un informe en el que otorga una calificación de A a España por la sólida recuperación de la economía Axesor Rating, la agencia española de calificación crediticia, ha estrenado sus exámenes sobre deudas soberanas con España, país al que atribuye un rating de A con perspectiva estable. “La calificación otorgada refleja la elevada diversificación de la economía española y el sólido crecimiento del PIB real, por lo que considera que aún existe recorrido suficiente para continuar liderando el crecimiento de la UE, apoyado sobre todo en la demanda interna, tanto por el mantenimiento del consumo privado como por la reactivación del consumo público”. Entre los riesgos para la economía española sitúa la inestabilidad internacional, la ralentización del ritmo de consolidación fiscal que impide reducir la deuda pública a mayor velocidad. También apunta a la inestabilidad parlamentaria es un obstáculo para aprobar reformas estructurales. Axesor proyecta, sin embargo, que en los próximos meses se producirá una moderación de los ritmos de crecimiento de la economía. Calcula que el PIB crecerá un 2,7% y un 2,4% en 2018 y 2019 respectivamente. La agencia cita la retahíla de riesgos que aparecen en los informes de todas las organizaciones internacionales: “el agotamiento de los principales socios comerciales, las tensiones arancelarias, la apreciación del euro y los riesgos latentes por la situación política en Italia o las crisis que afectan a los países emergentes, especialmente Turquía y Argentina”. Aunque, también, destaca la moderación del turismo por la recuperación de los destinos tradicionales como Egito o Túnez. Axesor recuerda que el sector turístico generó el año pasado cerca del 15% del PIB y del empleo.

La agencia de calificación muestra, sin embargo, las vulnerabilidades de la economía española. Y ahí, sobresale la sostenibilidad de las finanzas públicas, que “continúa amenazando el crecimiento económico, con un déficit estructural estancado y unos niveles de deuda pública que acentúan la vulnerabilidad financiera”. La deuda pública española se mantiene en el entorno del 98% del PIB.

“Se valora positivamente el esfuerzo de consolidación fiscal mostrado hasta la fecha, ya que permitirá la salida del Protocolo de Déficit Excesivo (PDE) en un corto plazo, siendo destacable además la estructura de la deuda. No obstante, se observa con preocupación el cada vez mayor volumen de recursos presupuestarios destinados al servicio de la deuda. En este sentido, la Administración General del Estado destina una tercera parte de los ingresos presupuestarios a satisfacer las amortizaciones programadas de la deuda y la carga financiera asociada, situación que puede verse agravada en un futuro con la materialización del cambio en la política monetaria del BCE”, advierte Axesor.

Junto a esta situación, la agencia también considera que la debilidad gubernamental desde un punto negativo para el crecimiento. “La situación gubernamental continúa siendo una de las principales vulnerabilidades para el crecimiento económico, básicamente por la amenaza que supone para las decisiones de inversión empresarial un Parlamento fragmentado que dificulta la aprobación del Presupuesto y acentúa las posibilidades de convocatoria de elecciones antes de la finalización de la legislatura”.

El informe también resalta el buen comportamiento del mercado laboral durante los últimos años. “No obstante, el paro continúa siendo uno de los principales desafíos de la economía española, sobre todo en lo que se refiere a desempleo juvenil y a parados de larga duración, con una tasa que se mantiene dentro de los rangos más elevados de la UE, tan solo por detrás de Grecia. Esta situación supone un freno al crecimiento potencial de la economía, ya que desincentiva la inversión en capital humano y afecta negativamente a la productividad, haciéndose necesaria la adopción de nuevas medidas que ayuden a paliar el problema del desempleo estructural”, señala.

Otra de las preocupaciones que destaca Axesor tiene que ver con “el agravamiento de la tasa de dependencia, que en 2018 asciende al 53% (30% si consideramos tan solo la población mayor de 65 años), por encima de los niveles precrisis, mientras que la tasa de crecimiento continúa mostrando un saldo vegetativo negativo, con una tasa de mortalidad en ascenso”. Y avisa: “Este mayor envejecimiento de la población pone de manifiesto la necesaria reforma del actual sistema de pensiones (para cuya financiación el Estado dedica una buena parte de sus ingresos

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  595. When I originally commented I clicked the “Notify me when new comments are added” checkbox and now each time a comment is added I get four emails with the same comment. Is there any way you can remove people from that service? Cheers!

  596. Heya this is kind of of off topic but I was wanting to know if blogs use WYSIWYG editors or if you have to manually code with HTML. I’m starting a blog soon but have no coding skills so I wanted to get advice from someone with experience. Any help would be greatly appreciated!

  597. Superb blog! Do you have any hints for aspiring writers? I’m hoping to start my own website soon but I’m a little lost on everything. Would you advise starting with a free platform like WordPress or go for a paid option? There are so many options out there that I’m totally confused .. Any ideas? Many thanks!

  598. Does your site have a contact page? I’m having trouble locating it but, I’d like to send you an e-mail. I’ve got some suggestions for your blog you might be interested in hearing. Either way, great site and I look forward to seeing it improve over time.

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  600. Thanks on your marvelous posting! I definitely enjoyed reading it, you will be a great author.I will always bookmark your blog and will come back later in life. I want to encourage you continue your great writing, have a nice day!

  601. Hey there! Quick question that’s totally off topic. Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My web site looks weird when browsing from my iphone 4. I’m trying to find a template or plugin that might be able to correct this issue. If you have any recommendations, please share. Thanks!

  602. I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own weblog and was wondering what all is needed to get setup? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very web smart so I’m not 100% positive. Any tips or advice would be greatly appreciated. Many thanks

  603. I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own blog and was curious what all is required to get set up? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very internet savvy so I’m not 100% positive. Any recommendations or advice would be greatly appreciated. Kudos

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  605. Outstanding post but I was wanting to know if you could write a litte more on this subject? I’d be very thankful if you could elaborate a little bit further. Thanks!

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  607. Hey! I know this is somewhat off topic but I was wondering if you knew where I could find a captcha plugin for my comment form? I’m using the same blog platform as yours and I’m having trouble finding one? Thanks a lot!

  608. Hey there, I think your website might be having browser compatibility issues. When I look at your blog in Chrome, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has some overlapping. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up! Other then that, excellent blog!

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  614. Have you ever thought about writing an e-book or guest authoring on other blogs? I have a blog centered on the same topics you discuss and would really like to have you share some stories/information. I know my viewers would value your work. If you’re even remotely interested, feel free to send me an e mail.

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  617. Right now it looks like BlogEngine is the top blogging platform available right now. (from what I’ve read) Is that what you’re using on your blog?

  618. My programmer is trying to convince me to move to .net from PHP. I have always disliked the idea because of the expenses. But he’s tryiong none the less. I’ve been using Movable-type on a variety of websites for about a year and am worried about switching to another platform. I have heard fantastic things about blogengine.net. Is there a way I can import all my wordpress posts into it? Any help would be greatly appreciated!

  619. Today, I went to the beach with my kids. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said “You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.” She placed the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear. She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is totally off topic but I had to tell someone!

  620. Howdy just wanted to give you a brief heads up and let you know a few of the images aren’t loading properly. I’m not sure why but I think its a linking issue. I’ve tried it in two different internet browsers and both show the same results.

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  623. Hello just wanted to give you a quick heads up. The text in your post seem to be running off the screen in Internet explorer. I’m not sure if this is a formatting issue or something to do with internet browser compatibility but I figured I’d post to let you know. The design and style look great though! Hope you get the problem solved soon. Kudos

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  626. Hey I know this is off topic but I was wondering if you knew of any widgets I could add to my blog that automatically tweet my newest twitter updates. I’ve been looking for a plug-in like this for quite some time and was hoping maybe you would have some experience with something like this. Please let me know if you run into anything. I truly enjoy reading your blog and I look forward to your new updates.

  627. Hi there! Do you know if they make any plugins to safeguard against hackers? I’m kinda paranoid about losing everything I’ve worked hard on. Any recommendations?

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  629. Wow that was odd. I just wrote an really long comment but after I clicked submit my comment didn’t appear. Grrrr… well I’m not writing all that over again. Anyway, just wanted to say superb blog!

  630. I’m not sure why but this weblog is loading extremely slow for me. Is anyone else having this problem or is it a problem on my end? I’ll check back later and see if the problem still exists.

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  636. At this time it appears like Movable Type is the best blogging platform out there right now. (from what I’ve read) Is that what you are using on your blog?

  637. Good day! I know this is kinda off topic however I’d figured I’d ask. Would you be interested in trading links or maybe guest writing a blog article or vice-versa? My site discusses a lot of the same subjects as yours and I feel we could greatly benefit from each other. If you might be interested feel free to shoot me an email. I look forward to hearing from you! Great blog by the way!

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  639. Right now it appears like Expression Engine is the best blogging platform out there right now. (from what I’ve read) Is that what you’re using on your blog?

  640. Hey there would you mind letting me know which webhost you’re working with? I’ve loaded your blog in 3 different browsers and I must say this blog loads a lot faster then most. Can you recommend a good web hosting provider at a honest price? Thanks, I appreciate it!

  641. Today, I went to the beach front with my children. I found a sea shell and gave it to my 4 year old daughter and said “You can hear the ocean if you put this to your ear.” She placed the shell to her ear and screamed. There was a hermit crab inside and it pinched her ear. She never wants to go back! LoL I know this is completely off topic but I had to tell someone!

  642. Thanks for ones marvelous posting! I seriously enjoyed reading it, you could be a great author.I will be sure to bookmark your blog and will often come back later on. I want to encourage you to definitely continue your great work, have a nice day!

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  644. I’m really loving the theme/design of your site. Do you ever run into any browser compatibility issues? A number of my blog readers have complained about my blog not operating correctly in Explorer but looks great in Opera. Do you have any advice to help fix this issue?

  645. Hmm it appears like your site ate my first comment (it was extremely long) so I guess I’ll just sum it up what I had written and say, I’m thoroughly enjoying your blog. I too am an aspiring blog blogger but I’m still new to everything. Do you have any tips for novice blog writers? I’d certainly appreciate it.

  646. Heya! I know this is sort of off-topic however I needed to ask. Does managing a well-established blog like yours require a lot of work? I’m brand new to running a blog but I do write in my diary every day. I’d like to start a blog so I will be able to share my personal experience and thoughts online. Please let me know if you have any recommendations or tips for brand new aspiring bloggers. Thankyou!

  647. Hey there! Would you mind if I share your blog with my facebook group? There’s a lot of people that I think would really enjoy your content. Please let me know. Thank you