Borrador del G20 ‘olvida’ la cláusula antiproteccionista

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Borrador del G20 ‘olvida’ la cláusula antiproteccionista

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El reiterado llamado del G20 a resistir el proteccionismo comercial está en duda antes de su próxima cumbre en Argentina, de acuerdo con el proyecto de declaración conjunta que se filtró y que está en consideración de los funcionarios de gobierno.  El comunicado, que aún se negocia y podría cambiar antes de que comience la cumbre en Buenos Aires el 30 de noviembre, insta a los países a “reconocer la importancia de un sistema multilateral de comercio” y “trabajar para mantener los mercados abiertos y asegurar un campo de juego equilibrado”. Sin embargo, no hay un compromiso explícito en el proyecto de declaración para luchar contra el proteccionismo. El lenguaje contra el proteccionismo ha sido una constante en los compromisos del G20 desde que se creó el foro hace una década en la parte más álgida de la crisis financiera. La omisión podría ayudar a evitar que se repitan las fricciones entre el presidente estadunidense Donald Trump y otros líderes mundiales como ocurrió en la cumbre del G20 del año pasado en Alemania, y la reunión del G7 en Canadá este año, incluso sobre la terminología. La reunión de Buenos Aires estará dominada por las tensiones comerciales y la reunión entre Trump y Xi Jinping, su contraparte china. Pero algunos funcionarios y analistas de comercio temen que la posible ausencia de un lenguaje contra el proteccionismo en la declaración final sea una mala señal para el futuro del comercio mundial. “Otros países ven a EU como un modelo a seguir”, dijo Chad Bown, miembro senior del Instituto Peterson de Economía Internacional, un grupo de expertos de Estados Unidos. “Y si este es ahora el nuevo modelo a seguir, ellos comenzarán a actuar de la misma manera”. Trump puso de cabeza la política comercial de Washington desde que asumió el cargo a principios de 2017, imponiendo aranceles a sus aliados estratégicos que van de Canadá a Japón hasta la Unión Europea, con lo que sumió a Estados Unidos en un enfrentamiento comercial con China. Esto es un marcado contraste con los esfuerzos de sus predecesores, entre ellos George W. Bush y Barack Obama, para unir al mundo hacia un comercio más abierto. “Bush entendió que el proteccionismo sería un obstáculo, y no un avance para los intereses estadunidenses. Si EU se opone a incluir ese tipo de lenguaje ahora, pondría de relieve la opinión contraria a los hechos y revisionista del presidente Trump de que EU es la víctima más que el beneficiario de la globalización y los mercados abiertos”, dijo Daniel Price, funcionario del G20 bajo el gobierno de Bush y ahora director general de Rock Creek Global Advisors, un grupo de asesoría de políticas en Washington. Un funcionario de la Casa Blanca dijo: “Estamos comprometidos a trabajar para lograr un consenso para el G20 y no comentamos sobre las negociaciones en curso”. El presidente de EU amenazó con retirar a su país de la Organización Mundial de Comercio (OMC), a menos de que se reforme. Aunque en el documento filtrado hay referencias de la “importancia” de un sistema comercial multilateral, el lenguaje no es tan firme como fue en la declaración del G20 del año pasado. De acuerdo a el borrador del comunicado, los ministros de comercio recibirán instrucciones para “desarrollar propuestas para garantizar que la OMC siga siendo relevante”, y volver a informar antes de la reunión del próximo año. La declaración que se negocia apoya el aumento de financiamiento para el FMI, que se embarcó en una campaña de recaudación de fondos para aumentar sus arcas en el caso de otra crisis financiera mundial. La nueva ronda de financiamiento del FMI va a requerir un ajuste en el poder de voto de los países dentro de la institución para reflejar su posición en la economía global, lo que lleva a una mayor influencia de las economías emergentes como China. El borrador del comunicado también incluye un lenguaje más suave sobre la acción climática en comparación con las declaraciones anteriores del G20, con una sección diluida sobre el clima como resultado del cabildeo por parte de EU y Arabia Saudita, según personas familiarizadas con las discusiones. El documento solo menciona brevemente el acuerdo climático de París de 2015, pero solo en el contexto de “reconocer las diferentes circunstancias, incluyendo la de los países que están decididos a implementar el acuerdo de París”. El borrador no llega a pedir más financiamiento para ayudar a que los países en desarrollo puedan hacer frente al cambio climático, se dice que el asunto del financiamiento climático apenas se “discutió”. El proyecto de la declaración tiene un marcado contraste con el lenguaje fuerte de la cumbre del G20 del año pasado, en el que se criticó el anuncio de EU de retirarse del acuerdo. En ese comunicado se dijo: “Los líderes de los otros miembros del G20 afirman que el Acuerdo de París es irreversible”. La reunión del G20 se produce antes de una cumbre sobre el clima de la ONU que comenzará en Polonia el 3 de diciembre.

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