EUR/USD alcanza máximos semanales cerca de 1.1450 antes de la decisión de la Fed

Previsión EUR/USD: Subiendo por el acuerdo con Italia pero los moderados todavía pueden sufrir
diciembre 19, 2018
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Previsión EUR/USD: Los toros no pueden celebrar nada hasta que Wall Street decida
diciembre 20, 2018

EUR/USD alcanza máximos semanales cerca de 1.1450 antes de la decisión de la Fed

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El par EUR/USD continuó subiendo y alcanzó el nivel 1.1438, un  nuevo máximo semanal. Está operando cerca con un tono alcista intacto pero aún por debajo la resistencia clave vista alrededor de 1.1445/50.

El movimiento al alza tuvo lugar ya que los participantes del mercado que esperan el resultado de la reunión de 2 días del FOMC. La subida de las tasas tiene un precio, pero últimamente, las especulaciones sobre un tono “moderado” de la Reserva Federal debilitaron la demanda del dólar estadounidense. La declaración se dará a conocer a las 19:00 GMT.

Los analistas de ING también esperan un alza en las tasas hoy y señalan que la economía está en auge, que la inflación está en o por encima del objetivo del 2% y que el mercado laboral finalmente está generando presiones salariales. Sin embargo, advierten que la perspectiva para la política en 2019 es más incierta. “En septiembre, el ‘diagrama de puntos’ de la Reserva Federal, que muestra las predicciones individuales de los miembros del FOMC, señaló una expectativa promedio de tres aumentos de la tasa de 25 pb el próximo año con un aumento adicional de 25 pb en 2020.”

El euro se encuentra entre los de mejor desempeño en la actualidad, respaldado por el posible acuerdo entre el gobierno italiano y la Comisión Europea que desencadenó un repunte en los bonos italianos. Mientras que el EUR/USD subió casi más de 50 pips, el EUR/CHF cotiza en máximos de 2 semanas cerca de 1.1350 y el EUR/GBP por encima de 0.9030 en el nivel más alto desde el 12 de diciembre.

Niveles técnicos

Al alza, el nivel de resistencia crítica se ve en 1.1445/50, seguido de 1.1470/75 (máximo del 20 de noviembre) y 1.1495/1.1500 (máximo del 7 de noviembre). Por otro lado, el soporte ahora se puede ver en 1.1400, 1.1355/60 (máximo del 17 de diciembre) y 1.1330 (mínimo del 13 de diciembre).

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