Previsión Minutas del FOMC: La lógica de la proyección

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abril 10, 2019

Previsión Minutas del FOMC: La lógica de la proyección

  • El rango objetivo de los Fondos de la Fed se mantuvo sin cambios en el 2.25% -2.50% en la reunión de marzo por unanimidad.
  • La actividad económica, el gasto de los hogares y la inversión empresarial más lentos se muestran en el comunicado del FOMC.
  • Los mercados buscarán una explicación sobre el alcance y la profundidad del retroceso en el crecimiento económico de EE.UU.

La Reserva Federal publicará las minutas editadas de la reunión del 19 al 20 de marzo del Comité Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC por sus siglas en inglés) el miércoles 10 de abril a las 18:00 GMT.

Análisis de la política del FOMC

El cambio en la evaluación de la Fed sobre la economía de EE.UU., que empezó con la reducción del crecimiento, la inflación y las estimaciones de tasas en los Materiales de Proyección de diciembre, introdujo la paciencia en el comunicado de enero, “ya que [el FOMC] determina qué ajustes futuros en el rango objetivo para los fondos federales puede ser apropiado…”, y estuvo continuado en marzo donde “la actividad económica se ha desacelerado de su tasa sólida en el cuarto trimestre”.


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