USD/JPY extiende las pérdidas hacia la zona de 111.50 tras datos de EE.UU

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Previsión EUR/USD: Los toros no pueden celebrar nada hasta que Wall Street decida
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Dólar pulgadas más alto en el trade posterior a las fiestas
diciembre 26, 2018

USD/JPY extiende las pérdidas hacia la zona de 111.50 tras datos de EE.UU

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Después de romper por debajo de 112.00, el USD/JPY entró en una fase de consolidación, pero se vio sometido a una presión de venta renovada en los inicios de la sesión americana y tocó su nivel más bajo desde fines de octubre con 111.55. Al momento de escribir, el par bajó un 0.8% en el día a 111.60.

El informe mensual publicado por el Banco de la Reserva Federal de Filadelfia el jueves mostró que la actividad comercial en el sector manufacturero regional se expandió a un ritmo más lento de lo esperado, con el índice de difusión general que llegó a 9.4 en diciembre decepcionando el consenso del mercado de 15 por amplio margen. Además, las solicitudes semanales de desempleo inicial aumentaron a 214 mil desde 206 mil en la semana que terminó el 14 de diciembre. Al momento de escribir, el índice del dólar estadounidense bajó un 0.6% en el día a 96.38.

Por otro lado, la caída en el rendimiento de los bonos del Tesoro a 10 años luego de los anuncios del FOMC de ayer reavivó las preocupaciones sobre la inversión en la curva de rendimiento, que se considera en general como un buen indicador de una desaceleración económica, e impulsó la demanda de refugios seguros el jueves. En este momento, el rendimiento a 10 años ha bajado un 0.65% en el día a 2.758%.

Al comienzo del día, el Banco de Japón dejó sin cambios su política monetaria y el Gobernador Kuroda dijo que los fundamentos económicos de Japón son sólidos y que el mercado de divisas se estaba moviendo de una manera relativamente estable.

Niveles técnicos 

Con un cierre diario por debajo de 111.60 (DMA de 200), el par podría apuntar a 111.35 (mínimo del 26 de octubre) a la baja antes de 111 (nivel psicológico). En el lado positivo, las resistencias se alinean en 112.65 (máximo diario/DMA de 100), 113 (DMA de 20/DMA de 100) y 113.65 (máximo del 14 de diciembre).

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